Daily Picks

Tuesday, October 6, 2026 · updated Oct 6, 4:22 PM CT
9
Suggested bets
1
MLB · 2 on slate
7
NFL · 15 on slate
1
NHL · 9 on slate
0
Tennis · 8 on slate

Suggested bets

What "most confident" means
Time (CT)SportBetKalshiModel fairEdge
5:00 PMMLB
Los Angeles Dodgers ML · Moneyline Most confident
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves · NLDS 'B' Game 3
Model 55.5% vs Kalshi 50.5% (de-vigged): +5.0 pts. Starters: Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Chris Sale.
50.5¢55.5¢+5.0¢
6:00 PMNHL
NSH ML · Moneyline Most confident
NSH @ TOR · NHL
Qualifies under the NHL underdog rule (tuned on 2022-25 walk-forward tests): model 48.7% vs 42.1% at the opening book line, +6.6 pts.
41.5¢48.7¢+7.2¢
Sun 12:00 PMNFL
NYG ML · Moneyline (buy YES on NYG) Most confident
NYG @ WAS · NFL 2026 Week 5
Model 52.9% vs the best Kalshi buy price 38c (YES on NYG): +14.9c, Strong on the NFL page (underdog rule).
38¢52.9¢+14.9¢
Sun 12:00 PMNFL
CLE ML · Moneyline (buy NO on NYJ) Most confident
CLE @ NYJ · NFL 2026 Week 5
Model 59.3% vs the best Kalshi buy price 45c (NO on NYJ): +14.3c, Strong on the NFL page (underdog rule).
45¢59.3¢+14.3¢
Sun 12:00 PMNFL
CHI ML · Moneyline (buy NO on GB) Most confident
CHI @ GB · NFL 2026 Week 5
Model 66.2% vs the best Kalshi buy price 58c (NO on GB): +8.2c, Strong on the NFL page (favorite rule).
58¢66.2¢+8.2¢
Sun 3:05 PMNFL
DEN ML · Moneyline (buy YES on DEN) Most confident
DEN @ LAC · NFL 2026 Week 5
Model 68.6% vs the best Kalshi buy price 63c (YES on DEN): +5.6c, Moderate on the NFL page (favorite rule).
63¢68.6¢+5.6¢
Sun 3:25 PMNFL
DET ML · Moneyline (buy YES on DET) Most confident
DET @ ARI · NFL 2026 Week 5
Model 74.8% vs the best Kalshi buy price 69c (YES on DET): +5.8c, Moderate on the NFL page (favorite rule).
69¢74.8¢+5.8¢
Sun 7:20 PMNFL
BAL ML · Moneyline (buy YES on BAL) Most confident
BAL @ ATL · NFL 2026 Week 5
Model 62.5% vs the best Kalshi buy price 40c (YES on BAL): +22.5c, Strong on the NFL page (underdog rule).
40¢62.5¢+22.5¢
Mon 7:15 PMNFL
BUF ML · Moneyline (buy YES on BUF) Most confident
BUF @ LA · NFL 2026 Week 5
Model 56.6% vs the best Kalshi buy price 41c (YES on BUF): +15.6c, Strong on the NFL page (underdog rule).
41¢56.6¢+15.6¢
1 lean(s) below the pick threshold
Time (CT)SportBetKalshiModel fairEdge
8:30 PMMLB
San Diego Padres ML · Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres · NLDS 'A' Game 3
Model 55.7% vs Kalshi 55.5% (de-vigged): +0.2 pts. Starters: Dustin May vs Nick Pivetta.
Lineups not posted yet: projected from recent games
Not top-confidence: edge 0.2c < 4c
55.5¢55.7¢+0.2¢