| Time (CT) | Sport | Bet | Kalshi | Model fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7:00 PM | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers ML · Moneyline Most confident Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers · NLDS 'B' Game 2 Model 72.9% vs Kalshi 68.5% (de-vigged): +4.4 pts. Starters: Ray Kerr vs Blake Snell. | 68.5¢ | 72.9¢ | +4.4¢ |
| 7:20 PM | NFL | DET ML · Moneyline (buy YES on DET) Most confident DET @ CAR · NFL 2026 Week 4 Model 74.9% vs the best Kalshi buy price 66c (YES on DET): +8.9c, Strong on the NFL page (favorite rule). | 66¢ | 74.9¢ | +8.9¢ |
| 7:00 PM | NHL | FLA ML · Moneyline FLA @ ANA · NHL Qualifies under the NHL underdog rule (tuned on 2022-25 walk-forward tests): model 57.0% vs 45.8% at the opening book line, +11.1 pts. Not top-confidence: edge vs the current Kalshi price is only 1.5c (< 4c): the line has moved toward the pick | 55.5¢ | 57¢ | +1.5¢ |