| Time (CT) | Sport | Bet | Kalshi | Model fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6:30 PM | NHL | PIT ML · Moneyline Most confident PIT @ WSH · NHL Qualifies under the NHL underdog rule (tuned on 2022-25 walk-forward tests): model 52.8% vs 39.8% at the opening book line, +13.0 pts. | 41.5¢ | 52.8¢ | +11.3¢ |
| Sun 12:00 PM | NFL | CLE ML · Moneyline (buy YES on CLE) Most confident CLE @ NYJ · NFL 2026 Week 5 Model 62.0% vs the best Kalshi buy price 46c (YES on CLE): +16.0c, Strong on the NFL page (underdog rule). | 46¢ | 62¢ | +16.0¢ |
| Sun 12:00 PM | NFL | NYG ML · Moneyline (buy YES on NYG) Most confident NYG @ WAS · NFL 2026 Week 5 Model 53.0% vs the best Kalshi buy price 38c (YES on NYG): +15.0c, Strong on the NFL page (underdog rule). | 38¢ | 53¢ | +15.0¢ |
| Sun 12:00 PM | NFL | CHI ML · Moneyline (buy YES on CHI) Most confident CHI @ GB · NFL 2026 Week 5 Model 67.2% vs the best Kalshi buy price 56c (YES on CHI): +11.2c, Strong on the NFL page (favorite rule). | 56¢ | 67.2¢ | +11.2¢ |
| Sun 12:00 PM | NFL | IND ML · Moneyline (buy YES on IND) Most confident IND @ PIT · NFL 2026 Week 5 Model 48.2% vs the best Kalshi buy price 43c (YES on IND): +5.2c, Moderate on the NFL page (underdog rule). | 43¢ | 48.2¢ | +5.2¢ |
| Sun 3:05 PM | NFL | DEN ML · Moneyline (buy YES on DEN) Most confident DEN @ LAC · NFL 2026 Week 5 Model 69.9% vs the best Kalshi buy price 63c (YES on DEN): +6.9c, Moderate on the NFL page (favorite rule). | 63¢ | 69.9¢ | +6.9¢ |
| Sun 7:20 PM | NFL | BAL ML · Moneyline (buy YES on BAL) Most confident BAL @ ATL · NFL 2026 Week 5 Model 62.1% vs the best Kalshi buy price 39c (YES on BAL): +23.1c, Strong on the NFL page (underdog rule). | 39¢ | 62.1¢ | +23.1¢ |
| Mon 7:15 PM | NFL | BUF ML · Moneyline (buy NO on LA) Most confident BUF @ LA · NFL 2026 Week 5 Model 58.3% vs the best Kalshi buy price 40c (NO on LA): +18.3c, Strong on the NFL page (underdog rule). | 40¢ | 58.3¢ | +18.3¢ |
| 9:00 PM | NHL | EDM ML · Moneyline EDM @ ANA · NHL Qualifies under the NHL favorite rule (tuned on 2022-25 walk-forward tests): model 57.9% vs 53.6% at the opening book line, +4.3 pts. Not top-confidence: edge vs the current Kalshi price is only 2.4c (< 4c): the line has moved toward the pick | 55.5¢ | 57.9¢ | +2.4¢ |
| Time (CT) | Sport | Bet | Kalshi | Model fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3:00 PM | MLB | Cleveland Guardians ML · Moneyline Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox · ALDS 'B' Game 3 Model 46.6% vs Kalshi 46.5% (de-vigged): +0.1 pts. Starters: Daniel Espino vs Sean Newcomb. Not top-confidence: edge 0.1c < 4c | 46.5¢ | 46.6¢ | +0.1¢ |
| 5:00 PM | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers ML · Moneyline Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves · NLDS 'B' Game 4 Model 57.8% vs Kalshi 57.5% (de-vigged): +0.3 pts. Starters: Tyler Glasnow vs Tyler Mahle. Lineups not posted yet: projected from recent games Not top-confidence: edge 0.3c < 4c | 57.5¢ | 57.8¢ | +0.3¢ |
| 7:00 PM | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays ML · Moneyline Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees · ALDS 'A' Game 3 Model 43.2% vs Kalshi 39.5% (de-vigged): +3.7 pts. Starters: Nick Martinez vs Max Fried. Lineups not posted yet: projected from recent games Not top-confidence: edge 3.7c < 4c | 39.5¢ | 43.2¢ | +3.7¢ |
| 9:00 PM | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers ML · Moneyline Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres · NLDS 'A' Game 4 Model 50.7% vs Kalshi 49.5% (de-vigged): +1.2 pts. Starters: Robert Gasser vs Walker Buehler. Lineups not posted yet: projected from recent games Not top-confidence: edge 1.2c < 4c | 49.5¢ | 50.7¢ | +1.2¢ |